{"art_url":"https://d1liwsgvdtvkdb.cloudfront.net/art/q_6a932ae1b1569f46ff/qm-ascii-fit-v1/1625cfdcafda22e7be279005bc51aadb4016c87164c2d7d9c9e76eb5ca517425/1200.jpg","art_url_600":null,"id":"q_6a932ae1b1569f46ff","text":"How many confirmed cases will the Salmonella outbreak reach in the UK?","display_title":null,"slug":"how-many-confirmed-cases-will-the-salmonella-outbreak-reach-in","status":"answered","entities":["HEALTH"],"ref_url":"https://www.metaculus.com/questions/45260/how-many-confirmed-cases-will-the-salmonella-outbreak-reach-in-the-uk/","forecasters":4,"created":"2026-08-21T00:00:00Z","budget_cents":500,"tier":"standard","raised_cents":500,"funders":1,"artifact":{"id":"a_6a9429e7a206d236e3","question_id":"q_6a932ae1b1569f46ff","latest_rev":1,"machine_price_cents":50,"freshness_hours":72,"external_url":null,"teaser":{"summary":"The outbreak has probability 0.85 of exceeding 500 confirmed cases, because it remains ongoing and investigations are expected to identify additional cases.","verdict":"As of August 28, 2026, the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has reported 474 confirmed cases linked to an ongoing Salmonella Enteritidis outbreak in the UK [1](https://www.theguardian.com/food/2026/aug/28/salmonella-cases-in-uk-likely-to-rise-until-source-of-outbreak-is-found)....","citations":4},"downloads":1,"unique_buyers":1,"age_hours":1129.4}}